When Creation Gets Cheap, New Markets Appear

The NBA's three-point revolution is a 45-year case study in where value migrates when the economics shift. Professional services firms are standing in the same moment.

The Shift

Two lines diverging over 45 years. Hover for season details.

2.8 → 37.2
Three-point attempts per game. From afterthought to primary weapon.
87.9 → 51.0
Two-point attempts per game. The shot the market stopped rewarding.
The mid-range jumper wasn't banned. The rules didn't change. But the game's understanding of where value was created shifted. Players who built excellence around that shot had to adapt or watch their relevance decline.
Professional services firms are using AI to get better at the mid-range jumper. The game is moving to the three-point line.

When Creation Gets Cheap

As the cost to build drops, problems that never justified a statement of work become worth solving. See what's emerging inside your clients' organizations.

Presets:
The Jevons Paradox
The amber line is the cost threshold — driven by AI Cost. The colored tiers are what's actually being built — driven by the other four axes. The gap between them is the opportunity.
Derived from your inputs
Threshold to justify a build~500 hrs/wk
People building solutions80 of 1,000
Solutions created per quarter
Enterprise-scale3
Department-scale1
Team-scale0
Individual-scale0
Total solutions / quarter4
Assumptions
1,000
New markets form downstream from the cost collapse, not inside it.
100 Problems Across Your Organization
Each row is a department. Each cell is a problem. Color shows who is solving it: enterprise, department, team, or individual.
Enterprise
Department
Team
Individual
Shadow IT
Unaddressed
Five-minute saves don't show up on an AI adoption dashboard. They show up on the KPIs of the organization. Easy to miss. Hard to argue with once you start counting.
Nobody greenlit an AI project. A KPI that was already on the dashboard just started moving.

The Scaling Cliff

98
of every 100 AI-enabled tasks are happening below the line where professional services firms are looking. This is the unaddressed demand. This is the scaling cliff.

Those 98 solutions run into the same walls. Watch what happens when they try to cross.

Not building the initial solution. Helping it survive contact with the rest of the organization. That is the next practice area.
The firms that help them cross that wall will define what professional services looks like next.

This is an interactive companion to When Creation Gets Cheap, New Markets Appear. Read the full analysis →

Data: Stanford HAI 2025, McKinsey State of AI 2025, Microsoft Work Trend Index 2025, Menlo Ventures State of GenAI 2025, Basketball-Reference.com. Visualization for thebaconbytes.com